European gas prices fall on warmer weather and an improved supply outlook

European gas prices

European gas prices recorded hefty losses on Monday amid warmer weather and an improved supply outlook.

The Front-month UK NBP price fell by 6.1% to close at the equivalent of USD 7.73/MMBtu. The Dutch TTF recorded a loss of 6.5% to close at the equivalent of USD 7.17/MMBtu.

US natural gas benchmark Henry Hub ended a four-day losing streak after rallying by 6.4% to close at USD 2.60/MMBtu. The gain, along with the losses on the European gas markers, saw the Henry Hub-NBP spread fall by 11% to stand at USD 5.13/MMBtu, with the Henry Hub-TTF spread falling by 12% to settle at USD 4.57/MMBtu.

CME’s JKM futures contract fell by 2.8% amid forecasts of warmer weather and improving LNG supply to Asia.

Crude prices closed ~USD 0.5/barrel higher on Monday, however the front-month Brent price remained in the USD 55/barrel range, with WTI also remaining in the USD 52/barrel range. The gains were once again attributed to the proposed Covid-19 recovery package in the US, with supply concerns – namely an outage at Kazakhstan’s Tengiz field – also helping lift crude prices.

The European carbon fell back into the EUR 33/tonne range after recording a loss of 3.1% to start the week.

Source: Gas Strategies

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