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The European gas market shifted direction in the second quarter of 2025, with wholesale prices beginning to decline after three consecutive quarters of increases. Average wholesale prices fell quarter-on-quarter despite remaining above year-ago levels, signalling the start of a broader downward trend driven by rising global LNG supply, lower gas demand and milder seasonal conditions. Gas consumption declined year-on-year, reinforcing […]
European biomethane is set to play a growing role in gas decarbonisation, but high costs, feedstock limits and infrastructure challenges are likely to constrain large-scale deployment despite ambitious policy targets. European biomethane has emerged as a central pillar of EU gas decarbonisation strategies, supported by ambitious production targets under REPowerEU and national renewable gas programmes. However, this analysis highlights a […]
The global LNG industry is entering the largest phase of supply growth in its history, with major implications for the European gas market. Large volumes of new LNG are coming online at a time when demand growth in Asia is stagnating, positioning Europe as the primary balancing market for excess supply. This shift is forcing a strategic reset across gas […]
Coal-to-gas switching in Europe is entering a more constrained phase, with recent market analysis showing that most economically viable switching potential has already been realised. While gas-fired generation remains structurally more competitive than coal and lignite, particularly in Germany, falling gas prices are no longer delivering additional fuel-switching gains. At the same time, EU ETS prices have increasingly decoupled from […]
TTF gas prices rose during the third week of January, increasing fuel costs for gas-fired power generation and placing upward pressure on European electricity market prices. Higher gas prices directly lifted marginal generation costs in gas-dependent power systems, while rising CO₂ prices added further cost pressure on fossil-based generation. The combined increase in gas and carbon prices reinforced the close […]
AI-driven data center expansion is emerging as a new driver of global gas demand, as electricity systems increasingly rely on gas-fired generation to meet rising power needs. AI-driven growth in data centers is accelerating electricity consumption worldwide, turning digital infrastructure into a material factor for power systems and fuel markets. As data center energy demand rises rapidly, grids are struggling to […]
The European Union is preparing a comprehensive revision of the EU emissions trading system, with proposals expected in 2026 following the adoption of a 2040 climate target. The review will assess how the ETS should evolve beyond 2030, covering sectoral expansion, carbon leakage, the market stability reserve, revenue use and the potential linking of the EU ETS with other carbon […]
The report argues that Britain’s electrification plans are running far ahead of what the power grid can realistically support, creating a growing risk of capacity shortages, local network overloads and even electricity rationing before 2030 unless firm generation and grid investment are urgently addressed. The study concludes that large-scale electrification of heating, transport and industry is unlikely to proceed smoothly […]
European power prices moved higher at the start of 2026 as rising electricity demand and higher CO2 prices outweighed the impact of strong renewable generation across parts of the continent. European power prices continued to rise in early January 2026, reflecting a combination of stronger electricity demand, colder weather and increasing CO₂ emission allowance prices. Despite record wind and solar […]