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Gas supply security frameworks must evolve as geopolitical disruption, reduced pipeline flexibility and growing weather sensitivity reshape global gas markets. While price signals and flexible LNG trade remain the first line of defence, they may not prevent extreme volatility or physical shortages during severe supply crises. Importing countries therefore need a combination of physical reserves, flexible commercial arrangements and coordinated […]
German gas storage was only 53% full at the beginning of September, its lowest level for this point in the year since records began 15 years ago. Although storage could technically reach around 77% by 1 November, injections during the next two months would need to exceed the total achieved over the previous three months. Even that level may be […]
European power prices rose sharply in southern markets during the first week of September, with Spain, Portugal and Italy reaching their highest daily levels since 2022 or 2023. Lower wind generation, stronger electricity demand and elevated TTF gas prices drove the increase. Spain and Portugal posted the largest weekly price increases, both rising 36%, while Italy gained 4.5% and recorded […]
The Italian gas market could face significant distortion under the government’s proposed Liquidity Service, which aims to narrow the price premium between the PSV hub and the Dutch TTF. However, the PSV premium may reflect the cost of transporting marginal gas supplies from north-west Europe rather than a genuine market failure. The measure could therefore distort price signals, displace LNG […]
European gas imports became more concentrated during the first half of 2026, despite the EU’s stated objective of diversifying its supply portfolio. Imports from the US increased by 8% year on year to 44 bcm, while Russian volumes rose by 14% to 22 bcm, lifting their combined share of EEA gas imports from 55% to 60%. Why we chose this […]
The European gas market is heading towards winter with unusually low storage inventories and limited capacity to absorb further supply disruptions. This five-chart briefing examines how the prolonged loss of LNG supply through the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping global flows, demand and prices. European and Asian gas prices have climbed sharply as the market adjusts to a longer-lasting disruption […]
European gas storage is entering a critical period as low inventory levels collide with weak commercial incentives to inject more gas. Storage facilities provide essential protection against cold weather, disrupted imports and delayed LNG cargoes, yet current market prices offer traders little reason to bear the cost of providing that collective security. Why we chose this report: This short analysis […]
The EU Methane Regulation requires importers of gas and LNG to demonstrate that producer-level methane emissions are monitored, reported and independently verified. This paper presents a framework for developing certification and trace-and-claim systems that could help companies meet these requirements across complex international supply chains. It also examines the potential role of the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership in supporting […]
TTF gas prices rose sharply in August 2026 as low European storage levels, disruption risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and stronger demand from gas-fired power generation increased pressure on the market. Why we chose this report: The report provides a timely overview of the close relationship between European gas and electricity markets. Front-month TTF gas prices averaged €62.14/MWh in […]