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Stalemate on Europe’s imports of Russian LNG

For the past two years, there have been unsuccessful attempts to push politicians to ban Russian LNG imports. The situation has hit a stalemate, with importing Member States willing to reject Russian gas if EU-wide sanctions are applied, overruling concerns about potential gas shortages. A Russian LNG price cap policy could slash export earnings 60% on 2023 levels and leverages Russia’s huge reliance on Western owned or insured LNG tankers to force down the price of its gas exports.

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Gas on gas priced share of LNG imports reaches 50% of all LNG trade.

After record gas prices in 2022, 2023 saw prices fall back, but they remained the second highest recorded since 2005. The total gas-on-gas priced share of LNG imports nearly doubled between 2016 and 2023 reaching just under 50% of all LNG trade.

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Summer-Supply-Outlook-2024-with-winter-2024-25-Overview

Summer / Winter outlook confirms the independence of the EU gas system from Russian pipeline supply

The Summer Supply Outlook assesses injection levels and the possible evolution of demand, supply, and exports from 1 April to 30 September 2024. The assessment shows that EU gas stock level is in the higher range of the past 5 years as of 1 April 2024. New gas infrastructure projects have been commissioned in the past year, mainly LNG terminals, boosting energy security in the EU Additional storage flexibility could be secured by storing additional volumes in Ukrainian storage facilities. Most cases show the independence of the EU gas system from Russian pipeline supply, especially in scenarios where some demand […]

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Testing Europe’s shift from Russian Gas to renewables

The phasing out the remaining gas flow from Russia under the most extreme weather and technological conditions is possible. Doing so responsibly requires expedited rollout of renewable energy in Europe, such as wind and solar energy, as envisaged by the REPowerEU plan29.

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